Investing Research

S&P 500 Market Update: Transports Provide Bullish Spark

Investors have seen a big move and outperformance from the Dow Jones Transportation Average (INDEXDJX:DJT) – they have broken out relative to the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX). The transports are now on the verge of breaking out in absolute terms as well. And this is a boost for the stock market. I…

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S&P 500 Market Update: Transports Provide Bullish Spark

Investors have seen a big move and outperformance from the Dow Jones Transportation Average (INDEXDJX:DJT) – they have broken out relative to the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX). The transports are now on the verge of breaking out in absolute terms as well. And this is a boost for the stock market. I…

Stock Market Weekly Outlook: Russell 2000 Alive And Well

Stock Market Weekly Outlook & Technical Review – September 30 Here’s a look at some key stock market indicators and emerging themes that we are watching in our latest “Stock Market Outlook”: Small-Cap Stocks Enter Fourth Quarter With Wind At Their Back – The Russell 2000 Index (INDEXRUSSELL:RUT) and fellow small-cap…

Japanese Yen Rally At Crossroads: Watch This Resistance!

After experiencing a very newsworthy decline from 2012 to 2015, the Japanese Yen has recovered strongly in 2016. But the Japanese Yen rally is “running” into resistance. You can see this in the chart below. The chart looks at the past 20 years.  As you can see, the Yen spent the…

S&P 500 Futures Trading Outlook For September 30

Stock market outlook for September 30, 2016 – After breaking yesterday’s lows overnight, S&P 500 futures are bouncing into congestion. Front line resistance sits at 2149, well below the support levels assessed in yesterday’s trading. We still need to pay attention to sellers at the top of the range near…

U.S. Economic Update: ‘Americans, We Have A Problem…’

I was six years old when the Apollo 13 mission had a major malfunction that resulted in aborting their mission to land on the moon. From that moment on, the entire focus became getting those brave astronauts back to earth safely. It took the entire brain trust of NASA to…

Crude Oil Update: Trading Range Likely To Continue

Back in May, I offered up a macro technical outlook for crude oil prices. In that blog post, I discussed why oil prices were looking very extended and were due for a pullback. Shortly after the article, crude oil prices peaked and pushed down below $40 a barrel (a 24% correction). It…

Stocks Bonds Performance Ratio Testing Resistance

We are close to finishing out the historically bearish period of seasonality for equities. And while we didn’t see any kind of crash that many traders were expecting, the S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) is up nearly 4% and saw just a 5% drop back in June. Overall, it wasn’t a terrible summer…

S&P 500 Futures Trading Outlook For September 29

Stock Market Futures Outlook for September 29, 2016 – Range bound behavior on the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) continues. The winning trader has been trading the range bound channel – moving in at price support and out at price resistance, or the reverse. We still need to pay attention to sellers…

Charting A Topping Pattern On The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)

September has presented traders with several warning signs of instability in equity and bond markets. So we are focusing our posts and our newsletter this week on developments in various stock market indices. We are especially interested in identifying signs of pattern completion and weakening momentum as stock market indices…

Crude Oil Chart: Compression Signal Points To New Trend

After an amazing snapback rally earlier this year, Crude Oil prices have spent time consolidating. In short, the tension is building as traders await Crude Oil’s next big move. Crude Oil Chart & Price Action Insights Yesterday Crude Oil futures (CL) signaled an extremehurst compression signal. This market signal is non-directional but indicates…